Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.194249 0.230812 0.271813 0.321120 0.378723 0.443809 0.522841
2025-05-04 0.145382 0.193835 0.254131 0.334332 0.437830 0.566470 0.738022
2025-05-11 0.111660 0.162702 0.231487 0.330238 0.467517 0.650610 0.912121
2025-05-18 0.086851 0.136460 0.207960 0.317372 0.479143 0.707758 1.053057
2025-05-25 0.068469 0.115075 0.186381 0.301817 0.481954 0.749649 1.173957
2025-06-01 0.059414 0.105931 0.180907 0.308355 0.516686 0.839873 1.373587
2025-06-08 0.049096 0.092661 0.166478 0.297934 0.522479 0.885213 1.507716
2025-06-15 0.043712 0.086819 0.163191 0.304933 0.556636 0.977954 1.725702
2025-06-22 0.038609 0.080527 0.158024 0.307607 0.583157 1.060062 1.933520
2025-06-29 0.033495 0.073281 0.149949 0.303667 0.597025 1.121296 2.110819
2025-07-06 0.029271 0.067050 0.142797 0.300272 0.611047 1.183513 2.295004
2025-07-13 0.027177 0.064891 0.143256 0.311545 0.653744 1.301269 2.590378
2025-07-20 0.026525 0.065957 0.150794 0.338815 0.732354 1.496566 3.055020
2025-07-27 0.024570 0.063774 0.151268 0.351696 0.784065 1.646621 3.450073
2025-08-03 0.021539 0.058482 0.144153 0.347279 0.799409 1.726854 3.716453
2025-08-10 0.018341 0.052144 0.133655 0.333776 0.793521 1.763345 3.898108
2025-08-17 0.015461 0.046030 0.122669 0.317465 0.779187 1.780403 4.040688
2025-08-24 0.014243 0.044120 0.121565 0.324320 0.817841 1.913285 4.439641
2025-08-31 0.012296 0.039778 0.113657 0.313393 0.813747 1.952674 4.640315
2025-09-07 0.011416 0.038351 0.113067 0.320733 0.853930 2.094006 5.078142
2025-09-14 0.010438 0.036428 0.110850 0.323536 0.883288 2.213424 5.477348
2025-09-21 0.009311 0.033803 0.106275 0.319405 0.894723 2.292234 5.790392
2025-09-28 0.008335 0.031462 0.102129 0.315845 0.907151 2.374460 6.118734